Snow Day Predictor — Will There Be A Snow Day Tomorrow?
Our snow day predictor scores five live weather factors: snowfall, temperature, wind speed, wind chill, and storm conditions, then instantly calculates the probability of a school closure for any city in the US or Canada. Simply enter your city, ZIP code, or postal code below to get your prediction in about two seconds.
π¨οΈ Today's Snow Day Predictions by City
Cities with the highest snow day chances right now, based on live weather data.
Cleveland, OH
5% Snow Day Chance
Overcast Β· 73Β°F Β· Wind 18 mph
Milwaukee, WI
5% Snow Day Chance
Overcast Β· 67Β°F Β· Wind 15 mph
Buffalo, NY
0% Snow Day Chance
Clear sky Β· 71Β°F
Syracuse, NY
0% Snow Day Chance
Clear sky Β· 65Β°F
Rochester, NY
0% Snow Day Chance
Mainly clear Β· 68Β°F
Erie, PA
0% Snow Day Chance
Clear sky Β· 69Β°F
How Our Snow Day Predictor Works
Get your snow day prediction in three simple steps
Enter Your Location
Type your ZIP code or city name into the predictor above.
Algorithm Scores Your Weather
Our five-factor system measures snowfall, temperature, wind speed, wind chill, and storm conditions.
Get Your Prediction
Receive an instant percentage with a detailed factor breakdown.
The Science of School Closures
A superintendent is not reading a weather app. They are asking one question at 4 AM: can I put a bus full of kids on these roads and get every one of them home safely? Our snow day predictor models that decision. Five factors, each scored on its own, then combined into a single probability.
Snowfall
Heavy, fast-falling snow overwhelms road crews and greatly increases school closure chances.
Temperature
Extremely low temperatures reduce road salt effectiveness, making icy roads more dangerous.
Wind Speed
Strong winds reduce visibility and blow snow back onto cleared roads and highways.
Wind Chill
Dangerous wind chills make waiting outdoors unsafe for students and school transportation.
Storm Conditions
Ice storms, blizzards, and freezing rain rapidly create hazardous travel and safety risks.
π The Pre-Dawn Window
Timing beats depth. A storm that peaks between 3:00 AM and 9:00 AM is the worst possible storm because road crews never get a clean window to pre-treat, and the heaviest snowfall arrives exactly when school buses are on the road. The same storm arriving at noon? Cleared by morning. Nobody misses school.
β‘ When Two Factors Hit Together
Superintendents do not look at factors one at a time, and neither does our snow day calculator. Freezing rain on its own is manageable. Freezing rain with sub-freezing pavement creates black ice, one of the most common reasons districts close schools even with little snow. Heavy snow alone is a plowing problem. Heavy snow with 25 mph winds creates whiteout conditions, and no district sends buses into a whiteout. When those combinations appear, the score jumps hard. That is intentional.
What Actually Stops a School Bus
School closures are not really a weather decision. They are a mechanical one.
Diesel Gels and Air Brakes Freeze
Fleet SafetyDiesel fuel starts to gel around 15Β°F, clogging filters and preventing buses from starting. Moisture inside air brake lines can also freeze, leaving districts without enough buses before routes even begin.
Road Salt Has a Hard Floor
Road SafetyRock salt loses most of its melting power below 15Β°F. While magnesium or calcium chloride can help, they are expensive and many districts cannot maintain enough supply during extended cold weather.
Wind Puts the Snow Back
VisibilityWinds above 25 mph blow snow back onto cleared roads, creating drifts and blind intersections. Large school buses need clear visibility and extra turning space to operate safely.
Cold Alone Closes Schools
Student SafetyWind chills below -20Β°F can freeze exposed skin in under thirty minutes. Districts may cancel school even on clear mornings to protect students waiting at unsheltered bus stops.
Snow Day Predictions by State & Province
Browse predictions for every US state and Canadian province.
Why Choose Our Snow Day Predictor
Built by weather enthusiasts. Free, and it stays free.
Five-Factor Scoring
Snowfall (35%), temperature (20%), wind speed (15%), wind chill (15%), and storm conditions (15%) combine into one probability, explaining why identical snowfall can produce different closure chances.
Hourly Data Refresh
Live weather feeds from Open-Meteo refresh every hour. Check after 7 PM for the most reliable prediction for tomorrow morning.
Built for the Morning Window
Predictions focus on the critical 3 AM to 9 AM period when districts decide whether school buses can safely operate.